Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.080107e-05 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000065 0.000075
2025-03-02 2.204207e-05 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000058 0.000071 0.000087
2025-03-09 1.669256e-05 0.000024 0.000033 0.000045 0.000060 0.000078 0.000100
2025-03-16 1.295174e-05 0.000021 0.000031 0.000044 0.000062 0.000084 0.000111
2025-03-23 1.037900e-05 0.000018 0.000029 0.000044 0.000064 0.000090 0.000124
2025-03-30 8.346244e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000043 0.000066 0.000095 0.000135
2025-04-06 6.505878e-06 0.000014 0.000025 0.000042 0.000067 0.000099 0.000144
2025-04-13 4.785169e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000039 0.000065 0.000100 0.000149
2025-04-20 3.672759e-06 0.000010 0.000020 0.000038 0.000065 0.000102 0.000156
2025-04-27 2.993058e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000038 0.000067 0.000107 0.000166
2025-05-04 2.460002e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000038 0.000068 0.000112 0.000177
2025-05-11 2.249070e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000040 0.000073 0.000122 0.000194
2025-05-18 1.706361e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000039 0.000074 0.000127 0.000206
2025-05-25 1.160098e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000037 0.000074 0.000129 0.000213
2025-06-01 8.123743e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000036 0.000074 0.000132 0.000223
2025-06-08 5.622658e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000035 0.000075 0.000136 0.000234
2025-06-15 3.981404e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000035 0.000076 0.000142 0.000246
2025-06-22 2.715335e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000077 0.000146 0.000258
2025-06-29 1.625739e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000033 0.000077 0.000149 0.000267
2025-07-06 7.654624e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000074 0.000148 0.000269
2025-07-13 3.690005e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000030 0.000074 0.000150 0.000277
2025-07-20 1.989614e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000030 0.000075 0.000155 0.000289
2025-07-27 1.007817e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000030 0.000077 0.000160 0.000303